Ways to predict the future KZ-JO-H-06-08-002203

During the classes we will discuss methods and techniques of developing forecasts based on development trends. Students will learn about the possibilities of qualitative and quantitative analysis of various situations in order to predict possible changes.

Dyscyplina

rolnictwo i ogrodnictwo

Literatura uzupełniająca

1. Stephen M. Millett Five Principles of Futuring as Applied History - http://futurethought.pbworks.com/w/file/fetch/47891055/2011-Millett_Five-Futuring-Principles_Applied-History.pdf 2. The best way to predict the future. - https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20140612-the-best-way-to-see-the-future

Nakład pracy studenta

15 h - Teams and Moodle classes, 10 h - student's own work: preparation for classes, completing tasks; 5 h - consultation.

Rodzaj przedmiotu

ogólnouniwersyteckie

Tryb prowadzenia

Realizowany zdalnie

Koordynatorzy przedmiotu

Antonina Kalinichenko

Efekty kształcenia

Knowledge:
- theoretical and practical principles of the forecasting process
- selecting methods appropriate to the specificity of the problem

Skills:
- solving developmental problems by means of various prediction methods

Social competence:
- can interact and work in a group carrying out a specific task
- consciously selects and interprets information relevant to making rational decisions in the professional area

Kryteria oceniania

situational method, practical tasks
Credit with Assessment.
Assessment based on attendance, activity in the classes, tasks in the Moodle

Literatura

1. Paul Saffo. Six Rules for Effective Forecasting - https://hbr.org/2007/07/six-rules-for-effective-forecasting
2 Bobbie Johnson. The professionals who predict the future for a living. - https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/02/26/905703/professionals-who-predict-the-future-for-a-living-forecasting-futurists/

Więcej informacji

Dodatkowe informacje (np. o kalendarzu rejestracji, prowadzących zajęcia, lokalizacji i terminach zajęć) mogą być dostępne w serwisie USOSweb:

Strona przedmiotu KZ-JO-H-06-08-002203 w USOSweb